Super Bowl XLV Fantasy Review

Rodgers took home Super Bowl MVP honors and the championship belt.

The Super Bowl resulted in an outcome that many people expected with the red-hot Green Bay Packers winning their fourth Super Bowl in team history with a 31-25 victory. Though this was a higher scoring game than most assumed, the story was still highlighted by defensive plays. The Steelers turned the ball over three times, including a Nick Collins’ interception for a TD, which gave the Packers a 14-0 lead early. Super Bowl MVP Aaron Rodgers was able to pick Pittsburgh’s defense apart and Big Ben had some costly mistakes. With this in mind lets take a closer look at the fantasy match-ups compared to our FFS projections.

QB: Aaron Rodgers – GB vs. Ben Roethlisberger – PIT

Aaron Rodgers played an outstanding game throwing three touchdowns and over 300 yards with no INTs, totaling a QB rating of 111.5. Big Ben was mediocre with two TDs, over 250 yards and two INTs with a QB rating of 77.4. It was Roethlisberger’s turnovers that really changed the game in the Packers favor, throwing one that was returned for a TD and one other that led to a score. I picked Rodgers to shine and he did just that outplaying Big Ben.

Projection:

Aaron Rodgers – GB – 24-35 280 yards 2 TD 1 INT, 5 carries 32 yards

Ben Roethlisberger – PIT – 17-30 190 yards 1 TD 1 INT, 4 carries 24 yards

Outcome:

Aaron Rodgers – GB – 24-39 304 yards 3 TD 0 INT 2 carries -2 yards

Ben Roethlisberger – PIT – 25-40 263 yards 2 TD 2 TD 4 carries 31 yards

RB: James Starks – GB vs. Rashard Mendenhall – PIT

Mendenhall looked like he was going to dominate this match-up early, but because the Steelers fell behind they had to turn to the air. Mendenhall did have a respectable game for only having 14 catches, but he did have a costly turnover. Starks was not spectacular, but got the job done with his 11 carries for 52 yards. Though this was closer than I predicted, I still give the edge to Mendenhall because he was able to score a TD.

Projection:

James Starks – GB – 20 carries 60 yards

Rashard Mendenhall – PIT – 25 carries 90 yards 1 TD

Outcome:

James Starks – GB – 11 carries 52 yards

Rashard Mendenhall – PIT – 14 carries 63 yards 1 TD

WR #1: Greg Jennings – GB vs. Mike Wallace – PIT

Both of these guys are known for their big plays and each found the end zone, with Jennings scoring twice. Wallace had a much more effective game than I expected him to have, but he was held to just 9.9 yards/rec which was huge because during the regular season he averaged 21.0 yards/rec. Also, due to the loss of CB Charles Woodson for the second half Wallace was not blanked by the 2009 NFL Defensive Player of the Year, which benefited him. The story of the night at this position was Green Bay’s Jordy Nelson though. He exploded for 9 rec 140 yards and 1 TD. I would call this match-up a wash because of Jennings’ two scores compared to Wallace’s nine receptions and a score. Jordy Nelson definitely takes the award having a tremendous match-up.

Projection:

Greg Jennings – GB – 6 rec 95 yards 1 TD

Mike Wallace – PIT – 2 rec 45 yards

Outcome:

Greg Jennings – GB – 4 rec 64 yards 2 TD

Mike Wallace – PIT – 9 rec 89 yards 1 TD

Jordy Nelson – GB – 9 rec 140 yards 1 TD

TE – Andrew Quarless – GB vs. Heath Miller – PIT

There is not much to talk about in this match-up, as expected, as these two only combined for three catches and 17 yards. I thought that they would have been a little more of a factor than they were, but they combined for only six QB targets, Miller having four of them. Miller wins this match-up, even though he did not have an eye-opening performance.

Projection:

Andrew Quarless – GB – 2 rec 17 yards

Heath Miller – PIT – 3 rec 34 yards

Outcome:

Andrew Quarless – GB – 1 rec 5 yards

Heath Miller – PIT – 2 rec 12 yards

DEF – Green Bay Packers vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

I gave the Packers the edge in the Super Bowl Preview and they proved why forcing three turnovers and Nick Collins even scored on one of them because of the pressure put on Big Ben. The Steelers were actually got to Rodgers more effectively, totaling three sacks and eight QB hits, compared to the Packers’ one sack and five QB hits. The Packers’ real edge came in the secondary where they had five passes defended, two INTs and returned one of those for a score. The Steelers’ biggest weakness was exploited in their secondary only defending one pass. Clay Matthews had a huge play when he stripped Mendenhall while the Steelers were driving. The Packers’ ability to force turnovers gave them the edge and resulted in a victory.


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2 Responses to “Super Bowl XLV Fantasy Review”

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